Uncertainty

(This post completes my three-part discussion of the "regime uncertainty" hypothesis, according to which the New Deal hampered recovery by causing businessmen to fear policy changes that might render their investments unprofitable.  Links to the previous posts about regime uncertainty, and to the other posts of my…

(This post continues my discussion of the "regime uncertainty" hypothesis, according to which the New Deal hampered recovery by causing businessmen to fear policy changes that might render their investments unprofitable.)   Insull's Monstrosity The 1935 Revenue Act wasn't the only measure that had businessmen and investors…

By the start of 1937, things were looking up for the U.S. economy. Although the Supreme Court had struck down both the NIRA and the AAA—the chief pillars of the original New Deal's recovery plan—some time earlier, like a glider released by its tow plane, the recovery…

Bank of Toronto

 [This is the last half of a two-part critique of Douglas Diamond and Philip Dybvig's highly influential paper purporting to show that fractional reserve banking systems are inherently unstable. Part I can be found here.] Sauce for the Goose… Half a century after the fact, the "aggregate…